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PEW RESEARCH CENTER
www.pewresearch.org
2016 PEW RESEARCH CENTER’S AMERICAN TRENDS PANEL
WAVE 20 August
FINAL TOPLINE
August 16 – September 12, 2016
TOTAL N=4,538
WEB RESPONDENTS N=4,195
MAIL RESPONDENTS N=343
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ADDITIONAL QUESTIONS HELD FOR FUTURE RELEASE
ASK ALL:
VOTEGENA If the 2016 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for… [RANDOMIZE
OPTIONS 1 AND 2 FIRST FOLLOWED BY RANDOMIZED OPTIONS 3 AND 4, WITH
OPTION 5 ALWAYS LAST]
ASK IF NONE/OTHER CANDIDATE OR SKIPPED VOTEGEN (VOTEGENA=5 OR MISSING):
VOTEGENB As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to… [RANDOMIZE OPTIONS IN SAME ORDER AS
VOTEGENA]
BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS [N=3,941]:
Aug 16-
Sep 12
2016
38
Donald Trump/lean Trump
45
Hillary Clinton/lean Clinton
10
Gary Johnson/lean Johnson
4
Jill Stein/lean Stein
2
None/other
1
No Answer
1
Question wording in this topline is that from the web version of the survey. Question wording and format was adapted for
the paper questionnaire delivered by mail; this questionnaire is available on request. All questions asked in both modes
unless noted.
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PEW RESEARCH CENTER
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ASK ALL:
VOTEGENA If the 2016 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for… [RANDOMIZE
OPTIONS 1 AND 2 FIRST FOLLOWED BY RANDOMIZED OPTIONS 3 AND 4, WITH
OPTION 5 ALWAYS LAST]
ASK IF NONE/OTHER CANDIDATE OR SKIPPED VOTEGEN (VOTEGENA=5 OR MISSING):
VOTEGENB As of TODAY, do you LEAN more to… [RANDOMIZE OPTIONS IN SAME ORDER AS
VOTEGENA]
ASK IF JOHNSON/STEIN IN VOTEGENA (VOTEGENA=3,4) OR VOTEGENB (VOTEGENB=3,4):
VOTEGEND And even though you don’t plan to support Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton, if you had to
choose, would you say you … [RANDOMIZE OPTIONS IN SAME ORDER AS
VOTEGENA]
BASED ON REGISTERED VOTERS [N=3,941]:
Aug 16-
Sep 12
2016
44
Donald Trump/lean Trump
52
Hillary Clinton/lean Clinton
2
None/other
2
No Answer
VOTEGENA/VOTEGENB/VOTEGEND TREND FOR COMPARISON:
ASK ALL:
VOTEGEN If the 2016 presidential election were being held today, would you vote for…
[RANDOMIZE OPTIONS 1 AND 2 WITH OPTION 3 ALWAYS LAST]
ASK IF NEITHER/OTHER CANDIDATE OR SKIPPED VOTEGEN (VOTEGEN=3 OR
MISSING):
VOTEGEN3 [IF NEITHER/OTHER IN VOTEGEN DISPLAY:]
And even though you don’t plan to support Donald Trump or Hillary Clinton, if you had to
choose, would you say you…
[IF SKIPPED VOTEGEN DISPLAY:]
If you had to choose, would you say you…
[RANDOMIZE OPTIONS IN SAME ORDER AS VOTEGEN] Note: Display neither only
if the question is skipped without selecting Trump or Clinton
July 12-
Aug 8
2016
June 7-
July 5
2016
46
Donald Trump/lean Trump
45
50
Hillary Clinton/lean Clinton
51
3
Neither
3
1
No Answer
1
20
Neither in VOTEGEN
23
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PEW RESEARCH CENTER
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ASK ALL:
CAMPFEEL How have you been feeling about the 2016 presidential campaign recently?
[Check all that apply] [RANDOMIZE]
Selected
Not selected
/No Answer
1. Interested
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
28
72
July 12-Aug 8, 2016
29
71
June 7-July 5, 2016
31
69
2. Excited
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
9
91
July 12-Aug 8, 2016
10
90
June 7-July 5, 2016
9
91
3. Optimistic
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
14
86
July 12-Aug 8, 2016
13
87
June 7-July 5, 2016
17
83
4. Indifferent
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
11
89
July 12-Aug 8, 2016
11
89
June 7-July 5, 2016
10
90
5. Frustrated
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
54
46
July 12-Aug 8, 2016
47
53
June 7-July 5, 2016
48
52
6. Disgusted
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
54
46
July 12-Aug 8, 2016
50
50
June 7-July 5, 2016
45
55
7. Scared
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
41
59
July 12-Aug 8, 2016
40
60
June 7-July 5, 2016
38
62
8. None of these [EXCLUSIVE PUNCH]
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
4
96
July 12-Aug 8, 2016
5
95
June 7-July 5, 2016
4
96
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PEW RESEARCH CENTER
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[RANDOMIZE ORDER OF EMTPRESTRUMP & EMTPRESCLINTON IN SAME ORDER AS
RESPONDENT RECEIVED IN WAVE 16. IF NOT ASSIGNED IN WAVE 16 THEN ASSIGN
RANDOMIZATION HERE.]
ASK ALL:
Thinking about the presidential election that will take place in November...
ASK ALL:
EMTPRESTRUMP How would you feel if Donald Trump won the presidential election in November
2016?
[ROTATE ORDER 1-4 FOR HALF, 4-1 FOR OTHER HALF USING SAME
ROTATION RECEIVED IN WAVE 16. IF NOT ASSIGNED IN WAVE 16 THEN
ASSIGN ROTATION HERE. RECORD IF RESPONDENT WAS SHOWN 1-4 OR
4-1]
Aug 16-
Sep 12
2016
Apr 5-
May 2
2016
10
Excited
15
25
Relieved
16
37
Disappointed
36
24
Angry
29
4
No Answer
4
ASK ALL:
EMTPRESCLINTON How would you feel if Hillary Clinton won the presidential election in November
2016?
[DISPLAY RESPONSE OPTIONS IN SAME ORDER AS EMTPRESTRUMP AND
RECORD ORDER]
Aug 16-
Sep 12
2016
Apr 5-
May 2
2016
13
Excited
15
36
Relieved
25
29
Disappointed
34
19
Angry
22
4
No Answer
4
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PEW RESEARCH CENTER
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ASK IF FORM=1 AND CLINTON SUPPORTERS (VOTEGENA=2 OR VOTEGENB=2):
HRCPRES In your own words, what is the main reason you [IF VOTEGENA=2: support] [IF
VOTEGENB=2: lean toward] Hillary Clinton for president?
BASED ON FORM 1 VOTERS WHO SUPPORT/LEAN TOWARD CLINTON [N=909]
Aug 16-
Sep 12
2016
32 NET EXPERIENCE/QUALIFICATIONS/ABILITY TO GOVERN
27 Experience/Qualified/Political knowledge
6 Ability to govern/Competence/Will get things done
32 NOT OR NOT AS BAD AS TRUMP/VOTE AGAINST HIM
22 NET ISSUE POSITIONS
3 Economic policy (jobs, taxes, middle class and poor)
3 Immigration
3 Supreme Court appointments
2 Foreign policy/Relationship with other countries
13 Other specific issues/General issues/Represents my values
17 NET PERSONAL CHARACTERISTICS/ASSOCIATIONS
12 Temperament/Personality
4 Woman/First woman president
5 NET SHE’S A DEMOCRAT/NOT A REPUBLICAN
5 Democratic nominee/She’s a Democrat/She’s liberal
3 SHE IS FOR AMERICAN PEOPLE AND VALUES
4 OTHER
10 DON’T KNOW/REFUSED
Total exceeds 100% because of multiple responses
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PEW RESEARCH CENTER
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ASK IF FORM=1 AND TRUMP SUPPORTERS (VOTEGENA=1 OR VOTEGENB=1):
DTPRES In your own words, what is the main reason you [IF VOTEGENA=1: support] [IF
VOTEGENB=1: lean toward] Donald Trump for president?
BASED ON FORM 1 VOTERS WHO SUPPORT/LEAN TOWARD TRUMP [N=748]
Aug 16-
Sep 12
2016
33 NOT OR NOT AS BAD AS CLINTON/VOTE AGAINST HER
27 NET CHANGE/OUTSIDE OF THE SYSTEM
12 Outsider/Not a politician
8 Will change things/Shake things up/Need new blood
4 Business experience/Successful businessman
4 Will not be influenced by special interests/Not corrupt
2 Change from Obama
26 NET ISSUE POSITIONS
10 Economic policy (debt, trade, taxes, jobs, middle class)
8 Immigration
7 Defense and military/Terrorism/Law and order/Keep American safe
4 Supreme Court appointments
7 Other specific issues/General issues/Represents my values
19 NET PERSONAL CHARACTERISTICS/ASSOCIATIONS
13 He tells it like it is/Not politically correct/Honest/Trusted
7 Temperament/Personality/Right person for job
10 MAKE AMERICA GREAT AGAIN/HE IS FOR AMERICAN PEOPLE AND VALUES
4 NET HE’S A REPUBLICAN/NOT A DEMOCRAT
2 Republican nominee/He’s a Republican/He’s conservative
4 OTHER
7 DON’T KNOW/REFUSED
Total exceeds 100% because of multiple responses
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PEW RESEARCH CENTER
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ASK TRUMP SUPPORTERS (VOTEGENA=1 OR VOTEGENB=1) [N=1,682]:
DTSPPRT Thinking about the reasons you [support/lean toward] Donald Trump, is each of
the following a major reason, minor reason or not a reason you support him?
[RANDOMIZE]
Major
reason
Minor
reason
Not a
reason
No Answer
a. His views on immigration
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
62
25
12
1
b. His views on the economy
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
73
19
8
*
c. His views on terrorism
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
74
17
7
1
d. His views on race relations
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
27
40
31
1
e. His leadership ability
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
56
31
12
1
f. His personality
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
20
38
41
*
g. Because he has not worked in
government before
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
43
26
31
*
h. Because he’s the Republican
Party’s nominee
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
25
35
40
*
i. Because I dislike Hillary Clinton
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
63
21
15
1
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PEW RESEARCH CENTER
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ASK CLINTON SUPPORTERS (VOTEGENA=2 OR VOTEGENB=2) [N=2,129]:
HRCSPPRT Thinking about the reasons you [support/lean toward] Hillary Clinton, is each of
the following a major reason, minor reason or not a reason you support her?
[RANDOMIZE]
Major
reason
Minor
reason
Not a
reason
No Answer
a. Her views on immigration
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
46
37
16
1
b. Her views on the economy
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
55
30
14
1
c. Her views on terrorism
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
45
35
19
1
d. Her views on race relations
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
52
31
16
1
e. Her leadership ability
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
63
23
13
1
f. Her personality
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
31
36
31
1
g. Her experience in government
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
74
15
10
1
h. Because she would be the first
woman president
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
29
29
40
1
i. Because she’s the Democratic
Party’s nominee
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
42
32
25
1
j. Because I dislike Donald Trump
Aug 16-Sep 12, 2016
61
19
18
2
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PEW RESEARCH CENTER
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ASK IF FORM=2 AND CLINTON SUPPORTERS (VOTEGENA=2 OR VOTEGENB=2):
HRCCRN And while you [IF VOTEGENA=2: support] [IF VOTEGENB=2: lean toward] Hillary
Clinton for president, what, if anything, concerns you about her as a candidate?
BASED ON FORM 2 VOTERS WHO SUPPORT/LEAN TOWARD CLINTON [N=940]
Aug 16-
Sep 12
2016
18 NET PERSONALITY TRAITS
14 Dishonest/Untrustworthy/Disingenuous
3 Secrecy/Lack of transparency/Not forthright with press
16 NET PAST/ASSOCIATIONS/EVENTS
5 Corruption/Ties to financial interests/Wall Street
3 Positions on war/Hawkish
3 Email server
5 Political legacy (general)
5 NET ISSUE POSITIONS
5 NEGATIVITY TOWARD HER/SHE MAY LOSE
3 NET CONCERNS ABOUT PERFORMANCE/GRIDLOCK
2 Concerns about barriers to governing/Gridlock/Obstruction from GOP
7 NET OTHER
16 NO CONCERNS
35 DON’T KNOW/REFUSED
Total exceeds 100% because of multiple responses
ASK IF FORM=2 AND TRUMP SUPPORTERS (VOTEGENA=1 OR VOTEGENB=1):
DTCRN And while you [IF VOTEGENA=1: support] [IF VOTEGENB=1: lean toward] Donald
Trump for president, what, if anything, concerns you about him as a candidate?
BASED ON FORM 2 VOTERS WHO SUPPORT/LEAN TOWARD TRUMP [N=781]
Aug 16-
Sep 12
2016
40 NET PERSONALITY TRAITS
34 Temperament – Speaks without thinking/Unpredictable/Hot-headed
2 Arrogance
2 Lack of presidential traits
11 NET CONCERNS ABOUT PERFORMANCE/GRIDLOCK
4 Lack of experience
3 Lack of knowledge of foreign affairs/Ineptitude with other countries
2 Will be ineffective with/Obstructed by Congress or Republican Party
3 NET ISSUE POSITIONS
3 NEGATIVITY TOWARD HIM/HE MAY LOSE
9 NET OTHER
16 NO CONCERNS
23 DON’T KNOW/REFUSED
Total exceeds 100% because of multiple responses
